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Seven European banks fail stress test

Originally the regulators, the Committee of European Banking Supervisors (CEBS), were only to look at the biggest European banks but they expanded the list to include 91, after there were some worries over some medium sized banks.  Collectively these 91 banks represent 65% of the European banking sector and the number and size of banks vary from country to country but must be at least 50% of each countries banking sector.

The failure rate was lower than expect as many experts predicted that as many as 12 would fail. Of the seven that failed 5 were from Spain (Diada, Espiga, Bianca Civica,Unnim and Cajasur, one from Germany (Hypo Real Estate) and one from Greece (ATEBank).

By conducting these tests it was hoped that international confidence would be restored to help finance economic recovery and to overcome the worry that European banks were either not strong enough to withstand a double dip recession or have large exposure to countries that might default on their debts. Also to identify any vulnerable bank so steps can be take to strengthen them. The aim is to continually test out the resilience of banks in the EU periodically and undertake a continuing program of improvement.

The banks were tested in scenarios where different assets might fall significantly in value, such as the collapse of a property market and if this resulted in losses so great that the banks capital was wiped out, then insolvency would result. E.g. if a loan cannot be recovered the bank writes down its capital by the amount of the loss and the investors take that loss and if the banks assets cannot repay all of its borrowings then insolvency follows.

The banks that failed will have to agree a plan over given time period to resolve their shortcomings.  The five Spanish banks to fail were regional savings banks with heavy losses due the downturn in the Spanish property market, but savings banks have been undertaking a restructuring process by the Bank of Spain so the overall picture in Spain is was considered sound.

The British Bankers Association said that work had already been  put in to strengthen UK banks and the four major UK banks RBS, Lloyds, HSBC and Barclays exceeded the standards set.  Also tested and passed was the Spanish giant Santander who own Abbey, Bradford and Bingley and the Alliance & Leicester in the UK, as was the Bank of Ireland who provide the banking services for the UK Post Office.

There are market concerns as although the EU set the parameters for these tests, they were conducted by national regulators who may have been lenient on their own banks. The test is against a ratio of tier one capital (capital of the highest quality) which is a core measure of the banks financial strength and a measure of insurance against loss. The trouble is that some of the forms of capital used in the test proved useless against losses in the recent crisis, thus the measure is more favourable to the bank. This pales into insignificance against the real problem with these tests and that is there is no test against sovereign debt, which is what brought us to crisis with Greece on the verge of bankruptcy.  So this appears to be more of a political exercise, as the EU will not even contemplate that a country within it, would default on its debt

However, the test that confidence has returned will be if today, the interbank lending market makes it easier for banks to borrow.

Read full report and results

Maurice Hall

LINGOLD SAVING PLAN - GOLD

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